Al Monitor newspaper published a report “Does Erdogan think Sisi is bluffing in Libya,”, in which it touched on options for a possible escalation between Cairo and Ankara in Libya, after the former announced its red lines represented in Sirte and Al-Jafra, and the latter’s support for the determined reconciliation forces Upon entering them militarily.
The report indicates Libya’s transformation into a regional front, in which two main players appear, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who appears unaffected by the Sisi red lines and his threat to force, so it is likely that the matter will return to Russian President Vladimir Putin and his American counterpart Donald Trump, to prevent escalation.
Sisi had proposed a ceasefire and a new round of political talks in conjunction with his hinting of military force, but the Turkish president may not take his Egyptian counterpart’s warnings about the use of force seriously, according to Al-Monitor.
According to Turkish assessments, the Egyptian army will not hesitate to interfere in Libya, which has become one of the regional fault lines in the Middle East, and to participate in a cross-border campaign with ambiguous military objectives and losses that pose risks to its credibility and fuel internal disputes,” the writer says.
The Al-Monitor report notes that Ankara believes that Algeria and Tunisia will view the Egyptian military intervention in Libya as an undesirable escalation, and on the other hand, the United States can play a greater role in Libya as an invaluable mediator.