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El-Jarih reveals to 218News possible understanding between Presidential Council and Al-Rajma

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The researcher and political writer Mohammad El-Jarih indicated on the “Al-Bilad” program on 218News that there is a kind of confrontation between the de facto party, represented by those who fight on the ground and constantly declare that they are enemies and exploit the demands and suffering of the people in order to obtain gains, including the House of Representatives and the High Council of State; and the Government of National Accord (GNA) as well as the Libyan government and the general command.

El-Jarih added that these bodies can reach an understanding and make concessions to one other.

“On the other hand, we have the vast majority of Libyans who are calling for change and the exclusion of those who held leadership positions in previous political stages from the political scene.” He said.

El-Jarih said that all that the de facto party needs at this stage is to maintain the situation of division, wars, foreign interference, and the absence of oversight and responsibility, adding that whenever they have the military strength, they call for war and the Libyans will fall victim to this war.

The political researcher believes that the change demanded by the vast majority needs a set of things, including a strong government capable of laying down legislation and laws to bring about the transfer process from the current state of chaos and division to the state of elections.

“For change to materialize, this means that we need elections.” He indicated, saying the only way that change can be achieved is through political dialogue.

“Unfortunately, even this dialogue includes obstructive bodies that represent the narrow interests of the de facto party.”

Saleh is losing influence 

El-Jarih believes that the influence of Aquila Saleh has decreased greatly in the last period, after the great momentum that he enjoyed during the month of April and May.

In addition, he said that Saleh’s influence has diminished after the crisis that the eastern region went through and the tension between him and Haftar, withi Haftar’s victory in this round.

Regarding the reasons for the decline in Saleh’s popularity, El-Jarih referred to “discovering that he does not have the tools required to be an indispensable major player. Unlike Khalifa Haftar, as the founding commander of the army, he continues to this point to use all the cards available to him, whether military force and control on the ground, or good foreign relations with his regional backers, and he is still up to this moment able to impose himself as a key figure in the Libyan equation.

“Although the Russians face a very big crisis in dealing with Khalifa Haftar, because it has proven that they are unable to impose their views on the army commander, they know that Saleh is still an important political player, but at the same time, they are well aware that the influence of Saleh at this stage is much less than they had hoped.

The political researcher pointed out that the Russians – as well as the Egyptians – may have used Saleh as a card to pressure Khalifa Haftar to make certain concessions on the issue of not going to war or rejecting a ceasefire.

He explained that the revival of the Presidential Council is due to the stumbling of the Libyan political dialogue.

“The scenario of Sarraj remaining in power has become achievable,” he added, saying there is also some information about a compatibility between Al-Sarraj and Al-Rama: Haftar’s headquarters.

Fragile government

El-Jarih stressed that Stephanie Williams will not allow wasting more time, especially as she has a mandate from the Security Council and is able to take a range of measures.

“Perhaps she will resort to imposing a specific scenario on the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum because of the failure to come up with a consensual solution.” He indicated.

The political writer believes that the problem facing Stephanie is the question of legitimacy. It is not denied that Stephanie is able to impose a specific solution through the Security Council and the international community.

El-Jarih questioned the ability of Stephanie Williams to impose the new government. Indeed, naming a government from political dialogue has taken place, but it is an ineffective government and is unable to control the land like the Government of National Accord, and even worse than it is not recognized by either Al-Thani or Al-Sarraj.

“We will have a third government. The world may recognize it, but it will be unable to work to prepare the environment on the ground so that we have elections on December 24th.” He explained.

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